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Published and Forthcoming Papers

Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk  with Christian Matthes and Donghai Zhang 

The Economic Journal (Forthcoming)   SSRN 

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​​​Inflation at Risk (2024)  with David López-Salido

Journal of Monetary Economics   SSRN

Has the Fed Responded to House and Stock Prices? A Time-Varying Analysis (2023)   with Knut Are Aastveit and Francesco Furlanetto

Review of Economics and Statistics   SSRN

Business Cycle Accounting: What Have We Learned So Far?  (2023)   with Pedro Brinca and João Costa-Filho​

Journal of Economic Surveys

 

What is Certain about Uncertainty?  (2023)   with Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Cisil Sarisoy, Juan M. Londono, John Rogers, Deepa Datta, Thiago Ferreira, Olesya Grishchenko, Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, Sai Ma, Marius Rodriguez and Ilknur Zer

Journal of Economic Literature   SSRN

 

Economic Theories and Macroeconomic Reality (2022)   with Christian Matthes and Mu-Chun Wang

Journal of Monetary Economics   SSRN

 

On Identification Issues in Business Cycle Accounting Models (2022)   with Pedro Brinca and Nikolay Iskrev

Advances in Econometrics Volume 46 "Essays in Honor of Fabio Canova"   SSRN

Working Papers
Understanding Growth-at-Risk: A Markov Switching Approach  SSRN   
with Dario Caldara, Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Pablo Cuba-Borda 
Work in Progress
Flexible Priors and Restrictions in Structural Vector Autoregressions
with Christiane Baumeister and Junior Maih

The Effect of Monetary Policy on Income Inequality: Evidence from U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas
with Giovanni Favara and Egon Zakrajšek
FEDS Notes and Other Publications
Is Trend Inflation at Risk of Becoming Unanchored? The Role of Inflation Expectations (2022) with Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and David López-Salido
FEDS Note

Idleness, Returns to Education and Child Labor (2012) with José Raimundo Carvalho and Emerson Marinho
Revista Brasileira de Economia (RBE)
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