Publications

Has the Fed Responded to House and Stock Prices? A Time-Varying Analysis (2021) with Knut Are Aastveit and Francesco Furlanetto.

Accepted at Review of Economics and Statistics - SSRN

​​What is Certain about Uncertainty? (2021) with Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Cisil Sarisoy, Juan M. Londono, John Rogers, Deepa Datta, Thiago Ferreira, Olesya Grishchenko, Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, Sai Ma, Marius Rodriguez and Ilknur Zer.

Journal of Economic Literature (Forthcoming) - SSRN

International Finance Discussion Paper # 1294 (Federal Reserve Board)

On Identification Issues in Business Cycle Accounting Models (2021) with Pedro Brinca and Nikolay Iskrev.

Accepted at "Advances in Econometrics" Volume 46 "Essays in Honor of Fabio Canova" edited by Juan Dolado, Luca Gambetti and Christian Matthes.

Idleness, Returns to Education and Child Labor (2012) with José Raimundo Carvalho and Emerson Marinho, Revista Brasileira de Economia (RBE), Fundação Getúlio Vargas, vol. 66(4), pages 405-427, Oct.-Dec.

Working Papers

Economic Theories and Macroeconomic Reality (2021) with Christian Matthes and Mu-Chun Wang.

R&R at Journal of Monetary Economics

​​Inflation at Risk (2021)  with David López-Salido.

Versions: FEDS Working Paper - SSRN, CEPR Working Paper - SSRN

Understanding Growth-at-Risk: A Markov Switching Approach (2020)  with Dario Caldara, Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Pablo Cuba-Borda.

Versions: Philadelphia Fed Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications

Short presentation: 11th ECB Conference on Forecasting Techniques - "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Abnormal Times"

Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk (2020)  with Christian Matthes and Donghai Zhang.

Versions: FEDS Working Paper - SSRN, FRB Richmond Working Paper - SSRN

​​Business Cycle Accounting: What Have We Learned So Far? (2020) with Pedro Brinca and João Costa-Filho.

A New Keynesian Perspective on Total Factor Productivity via Production Networks (2017) with Nicolás Castro Cienfuegos.