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Published and Forthcoming Papers

​​​Inflation at Risk   with David López-Salido

Journal of Monetary Economics (Forthcoming)   SSRN

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Has the Fed Responded to House and Stock Prices? A Time-Varying Analysis (2023)   with Knut Are Aastveit and Francesco Furlanetto

Review of Economics and Statistics   SSRN​

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Business Cycle Accounting: What Have We Learned So Far?  (2023)   with Pedro Brinca and João Costa-Filho​

Journal of Economic Surveys

 

What is Certain about Uncertainty?  (2023)   with Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Cisil Sarisoy, Juan M. Londono, John Rogers, Deepa Datta, Thiago Ferreira, Olesya Grishchenko, Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, Sai Ma, Marius Rodriguez and Ilknur Zer

Journal of Economic Literature   SSRN

 

Economic Theories and Macroeconomic Reality (2022)   with Christian Matthes and Mu-Chun Wang

Journal of Monetary Economics   SSRN

 

On Identification Issues in Business Cycle Accounting Models (2022)   with Pedro Brinca and Nikolay Iskrev

Advances in Econometrics Volume 46 "Essays in Honor of Fabio Canova"   SSRN

Working Papers

Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk   SSRN  Revise & Resubmit

with Christian Matthes and Donghai Zhang 

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Understanding Growth-at-Risk: A Markov Switching Approach  SSRN   

with Dario Caldara, Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Pablo Cuba-Borda 

Draft for Philadelphia Fed Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications

Presentation at 11th ECB Conference on Forecasting Techniques - "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Abnormal Times"​

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A New Keynesian Perspective on Total Factor Productivity via Production Networks

with Nicolás Castro Cienfuegos

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FEDS Notes and Other Publications

Is Trend Inflation at Risk of Becoming Unanchored? The Role of Inflation Expectations (2022) with Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and David López-Salido

FEDS Note

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​Idleness, Returns to Education and Child Labor (2012) with José Raimundo Carvalho and Emerson Marinho

Revista Brasileira de Economia (RBE)

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